Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCPI-26OCT
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -0.1% at 98%, followed by Above 0.0% at 96%, Above 0.1% at 88%. 604.2K contracts have traded, 169.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above -0.1% ■ Above 0.0% ■ Above 0.1% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will always close at 8:29 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.”
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -0.1% at 98%, followed by Above 0.0% at 96%, Above 0.1% at 88%. 604.2K contracts have traded, 169.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the CPI in October market close?
The listed close date is November 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/cpi-in-october/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="CPI in October Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-october/">CPI in October odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-october/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/cpi-in-october/badge.svg" alt="CPI in October Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
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CPI in October: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-october/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketscpiinoctober, title = {CPI in October: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-october/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
