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Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXISRINTMIN-26OCT27
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Michael Malchieli at 26%, followed by Aryeh Deri at 6.5%, Ofir Katz at 5.5%. 44.1K contracts have traded, 37.0K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Michael Malchieli | 26% | +24 pts | 2.6K | 2.6K |
| Aryeh Deri | 6.5% | · | 899 | 500 |
| Ofir Katz | 5.5% | · | 316 | 158 |
| Oded Forer | 5.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 5.0% | · | 1.7K | 1.7K |
| Amir Ohana | 3.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 3.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Haim Biton | 3.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 3.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Yoav Ben-Tzur | 3.0% | · | 430 | 430 |
| Yinon Azulay | 3.0% | · | 156 | 156 |
| Chili Tropper | 3.0% | · | 0 | 0 |
| David Amsalem | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Cohen | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Israel Katz | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Keren Terner Eyal | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Miki Zohar | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Miri Regev | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Yariv Levin | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Yoram Cohen | 2.5% | · | 0 | 0 |
9 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of the Interior in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.”
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Michael Malchieli at 26%, followed by Aryeh Deri at 6.5%, Ofir Katz at 5.5%. 44.1K contracts have traded, 37.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election market close?
The listed close date is October 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillbeisraeliinteriorministeraftertheelection, title = {Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-interior-minister-after-the-election/}}HTML credit
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