Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXISRAELPM-26OCT27
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 44%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 36%, Naftali Bennett at 8.5%. 494.2K contracts have traded, 9.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Gadi Eizenkot ■ Benjamin Netanyahu ■ Naftali Bennett · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gadi Eizenkot at 44%, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu at 36%, Naftali Bennett at 8.5%. 494.2K contracts have traded, 9.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election market close?
The listed close date is October 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-2026-election/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsprimeministerofisraelafterthe2026election, title = {Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-2026-election/}}
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