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Kalshi APY calculator

Fees from Kalshi's fee schedule effective July 7, 2026 · live favorites checked November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Your position

If it wins

Profit: -

Return to resolution: -

Annualized, simple: -

Annualized, compounded (APY): -

Break-even chance: -

If it loses, you lose the whole cost. The price already tells you how likely that is.

Favorites on Kalshi today: return if they win

EventOutcomePriceDays leftReturn after feePer year (simple)
Alaska Senate winner?Democratic party97¢3612.9%3%
Mississippi Senate winner?Scott Colom99¢3610.9%1%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?Stephen Miller96¢553.9%26%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 5299¢860.9%4%
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)Mary Peltola96¢3613.9%4%
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 14 to 16%88¢36112.7%13%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)5693¢867.0%30%
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 24999¢860.9%4%
Blue wave in 2026?Yes99¢860.9%4%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 4596¢863.9%16%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 202794¢1445.9%15%
Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes99¢860.9%4%
CO-04 House winner?Eileen Laubacher97¢3612.9%3%
AZ-02 House winner?Eli Crane99¢3610.9%1%
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026Above $200,00094¢1445.9%15%
Number of rate cuts in 2026?Exactly 0 cuts98¢551.9%13%
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?Before Dec 31, 202694¢545.9%40%
Closest Senate race in 2026?Mississippi91¢579.2%59%
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 19399¢860.9%4%
College Football Playoff QualifiersGeorgia92¢528.1%57%
WA-05 House winner?Michael Baumgartner99¢3610.9%1%
Pro Football Playoff QualifiersJacksonville96¢793.9%18%
Wyoming total coal production in 2026Above 180 MMst98¢1451.9%5%
CPI YoY in NovemberAbove 3.2%98¢331.9%21%
New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026Above 1.7 million98¢1441.9%5%

Contracts priced 85 to 99 cents that close in 30 to 400 days, among the events with a Kalshi View page, by 24-hour volume; mid prices, taker fee included, checked November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Buying at the ask costs a little more.

Related

Fees per order: Kalshi fee calculator. Position risk and expected value: payout calculator. Bids, offers and spread: how to read the Kalshi order book. All live prices: Kalshi odds today.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate the APY of a Kalshi contract?

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Is a 95-cent contract a safe 5% return?

No. The price says the market sees about a 5% chance that the contract pays nothing, and then you lose the whole 95 cents. The annualised figure only describes the return if it wins.

Do fees change the return?

Yes. The taker fee is largest in cents near 50 cents but matters most for expensive contracts, where the profit per contract is small: at 95 cents the fee takes about a tenth of the 5-cent profit.