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Kalshi APY calculator

Fees from Kalshi's fee schedule effective July 7, 2026 · live favourites checked September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Your position

If it wins

Profit: -

Return to resolution: -

Annualized, simple: -

Annualized, compounded (APY): -

Break-even chance: -

If it loses, you lose the whole cost. The price already tells you how likely that is.

Favourites on Kalshi today: return if they win

EventOutcomePriceDays leftReturn after feePer year (simple)
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party92¢1308.1%23%
Aaron Rodgers's Next TeamPittsburgh89¢6711.5%62%
Pro Football Playoff QualifiersBuffalo90¢12310.3%31%
NL Rookie of the Year Winner?Sal Stewart90¢7510.3%50%
NL MVP Winner?Pete Crow-Armstrong99¢750.9%5%
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?Kirkland98¢981.9%7%
Texas crude oil production in 2026Above 5.6 million barrels/day98¢1881.9%4%
Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes scoreAbove 4594¢325.9%68%
Godzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes scoreAbove 4598¢461.9%15%
Pro Baseball Best RecordMilwaukee89¢3511.5%121%
AL MVP Winner?Yordan Álvarez92¢758.1%39%
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?At least 21097¢1012.9%10%
Blue wave in 2026?Yes86¢13015.1%43%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?At least 18291¢1019.2%33%
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026Above 545,000 jobs96¢2183.9%6%
MTV Video Music Awards: Best GroupBTS91¢3689.2%9%
Pro Football: New York G Total Wins2+ wins95¢1154.9%15%
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?Before Mar 1, 202788¢15712.7%29%
Pro Football: Miami Total Wins1+ wins92¢1158.1%26%
Who will release a new album in 2026?Quavo98¢981.9%7%
Pro Football: Chicago Total Wins2+ wins98¢1151.9%6%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 202790¢18810.3%20%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?At least 1096¢1013.9%14%
Pro Football: Las Vegas Total Wins3+ wins96¢1153.9%12%
NHL Playoff QualifiersColorado Avalanche91¢2139.2%16%

Contracts priced 85 to 99 cents that close in 30 to 400 days, among the events with a Kalshi View page, by 24-hour volume; mid prices, taker fee included, checked September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Buying at the ask costs a little more.

Related

Fees per order: Kalshi fee calculator. Position risk and expected value: payout calculator. Bids, offers and spread: how to read the Kalshi order book. All live prices: Kalshi odds today.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate the APY of a Kalshi contract?

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Is a 95-cent contract a safe 5% return?

No. The price says the market sees about a 5% chance that the contract pays nothing, and then you lose the whole 95 cents. The annualised figure only describes the return if it wins.

Do fees change the return?

Yes. The taker fee is largest in cents near 50 cents but matters most for expensive contracts, where the profit per contract is small: at 95 cents the fee takes about a tenth of the 5-cent profit.