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Kalshi APY calculator

Fees from Kalshi's fee schedule effective July 7, 2026 · live favorites checked October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Your position

If it wins

Profit: -

Return to resolution: -

Annualized, simple: -

Annualized, compounded (APY): -

Break-even chance: -

If it loses, you lose the whole cost. The price already tells you how likely that is.

Favorites on Kalshi today: return if they win

EventOutcomePriceDays leftReturn after feePer year (simple)
Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party92¢1198.1%25%
California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra96¢3943.9%4%
Iowa Governor winner?Rob Sand88¢39412.7%12%
Pro Football: Los Angeles C Total Wins1+ wins99¢1040.9%3%
Pro Football: Carolina Total Wins3+ wins98¢1041.9%7%
North Carolina Senate winner?Roy Cooper97¢3942.9%3%
Minnesota Senate winner?Peggy Flanagan86¢39415.1%14%
Aaron Rodgers's Next TeamPittsburgh90¢5610.3%67%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Rotten Tomatoes scoreAbove 4596¢493.9%29%
Florida Senate winner?Ashley Moody89¢39411.5%11%
Georgia Senate winner?Jon Ossoff96¢3943.9%4%
EPL: Team PointsHull City: 15+ Points96¢2513.9%6%
Pro Football Playoff QualifiersBuffalo89¢11211.5%38%
New York Governor winner?Kathy Hochul96¢3943.9%4%
What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?Above 4.1 million94¢365.9%61%
F1 Drivers ChampionAndrea Kimi Antonelli96¢783.9%18%
Pro Baseball NLCS QualifiersMilwaukee88¢3412.7%138%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?Above 10 inches88¢17712.7%26%
Jobs numbers in October 2026?Above -25,00092¢328.1%93%
Pro Football: Las Vegas Total Wins4+ wins99¢1040.9%3%
Number of rate cuts in 2026?Exactly 0 cuts95¢874.9%20%
Pro Football: Minnesota Total Wins6+ wins99¢1040.9%3%
Blue wave in 2026?Yes86¢11915.1%47%
South Carolina Senate winner?Darline Graham86¢39415.1%14%
Montana Senate winner?Kurt Alme92¢3948.1%7%

Contracts priced 85 to 99 cents that close in 30 to 400 days, among the events with a Kalshi View page, by 24-hour volume; mid prices, taker fee included, checked October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC. Buying at the ask costs a little more.

Related

Fees per order: Kalshi fee calculator. Position risk and expected value: payout calculator. Bids, offers and spread: how to read the Kalshi order book. All live prices: Kalshi odds today.

Frequently asked questions

How do you calculate the APY of a Kalshi contract?

Buying a contract at 90 cents that pays $1 returns 11.1% if it wins, before fees; with the Kalshi taker fee (0.63 cents a contract at 90 cents) it is 10.3%. Held for 60 days that is 63% a year simple, or 82% compounded. The price is also the market's view of the risk: a 90-cent contract loses everything roughly one time in ten.

Is a 95-cent contract a safe 5% return?

No. The price says the market sees about a 5% chance that the contract pays nothing, and then you lose the whole 95 cents. The annualised figure only describes the return if it wins.

Do fees change the return?

Yes. The taker fee is largest in cents near 50 cents but matters most for expensive contracts, where the profit per contract is small: at 95 cents the fee takes about a tenth of the 5-cent profit.