Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESNOMD-28
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff at 24%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14%, Gavin Newsom at 12%. 279.2M contracts have traded, 4.1M in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Jon Ossoff ■ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ■ Gavin Newsom · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff at 24%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14%, Gavin Newsom at 12%. 279.2M contracts have traded, 4.1M in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee market close?
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
