Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESNOMD-28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff at 16%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 16%, Gavin Newsom at 14%. 224.4M contracts have traded, 767.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 16% | +1 pts | 8.1M | 4.9M |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16% | -1 pts | 9.4M | 4.7M |
| Gavin Newsom | 14% | -1 pts | 10.3M | 4.6M |
| Kamala Harris | 7.1% | · | 8.0M | 4.8M |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5.2% | · | 6.2M | 4.1M |
| Josh Shapiro | 4.7% | · | 5.5M | 3.5M |
| Mark Kelly | 4.1% | · | 7.9M | 4.5M |
| Andy Beshear | 3.8% | · | 6.0M | 4.2M |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2.8% | · | 7.0M | 4.2M |
| James Talarico | 2.5% | · | 7.1M | 4.4M |
| Wes Moore | 2.2% | · | 5.0M | 3.6M |
| Ro Khanna | 1.8% | · | 6.5M | 3.7M |
| Michelle Obama | 1.8% | · | 6.5M | 4.9M |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1.8% | · | 5.7M | 3.9M |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 1.5% | -1 pts | 3.4M | 3.2M |
| Chris Van Hollen | 1.0% | · | 295.4K | 295.4K |
| Mitch Landrieu | 1.0% | · | 117.8K | 117.8K |
| Shawn Fain | 1.0% | · | 30.2K | 30.2K |
| Cory Booker | 0.9% | · | 3.9M | 3.0M |
| Mark Cuban | 0.7% | · | 5.5M | 4.4M |
28 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Jon Ossoff ■ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ■ Gavin Newsom · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff at 16%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 16%, Gavin Newsom at 14%. 224.4M contracts have traded, 767.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee/">2028 Democratic presidential nominee odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-nominee.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).