Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESNOMR-28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 44%, followed by Marco Rubio at 20%, Ron DeSantis at 4.3%. 65.8M contracts have traded, 186.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 44% | · | 4.5M | 1.9M |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | · | 5.5M | 2.5M |
| Ron DeSantis | 4.3% | · | 3.1M | 1.7M |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 3.5% | · | 2.9M | 2.0M |
| Tucker Carlson | 2.5% | · | 4.5M | 2.7M |
| Donald J. Trump | 2.4% | · | 4.4M | 2.7M |
| Ted Cruz | 1.8% | · | 2.1M | 1.4M |
| Ivanka Trump | 1.4% | · | 2.3M | 1.6M |
| Thomas Massie | 1.1% | · | 3.3M | 1.8M |
| Spencer Pratt | 1.0% | · | 329.1K | 329.1K |
| Jeff Bezos | 1.0% | · | 101.0K | 101.0K |
| Candace Owens | 1.0% | · | 57.9K | 57.2K |
| Lara Trump | 1.0% | · | 16.9K | 16.9K |
| Chris Christie | 1.0% | · | 1.8K | 1.8K |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0.9% | · | 1.1M | 923.9K |
| Brian Kemp | 0.8% | · | 1.7M | 1.3M |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 0.7% | · | 3.0M | 1.7M |
| Greg Abbott | 0.6% | · | 1.3M | 1.0M |
| Josh Hawley | 0.5% | · | 1.5M | 1.3M |
| Pete Hegseth | 0.5% | · | 1.3M | 1.1M |
19 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ J.D. Vance ■ Marco Rubio ■ Ron DeSantis · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 44%, followed by Marco Rubio at 20%, Ron DeSantis at 4.3%. 65.8M contracts have traded, 186.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/">2028 Republican presidential nominee odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).