HomeMarketsLive oddsGamesBlogToolsAPI

Kalshi odds today › Elections

2028 Republican presidential nominee: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESNOMR-28

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 44%, followed by Marco Rubio at 16%, Ron DeSantis at 3.8%. 68.8M contracts have traded, 80.5K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
J.D. Vance44%
·4.6M2.0M
Marco Rubio16%
·5.6M2.6M
Ron DeSantis3.8%
·3.2M1.8M
Tucker Carlson2.8%
·4.7M2.7M
Donald J. Trump Jr.2.7%
·3.0M2.1M
Donald J. Trump2.6%
·4.7M2.9M
Ted Cruz2.1%
·2.3M1.6M
Brian Kemp1.4%
·2.0M1.4M
Glenn Youngkin1.1%
·1.2M994.0K
Ivanka Trump1.0%
·2.3M1.6M
Spencer Pratt1.0%
·330.0K330.0K
Jeff Bezos1.0%
·102.8K102.8K
Candace Owens1.0%
·58.9K58.1K
Lara Trump1.0%
·17.0K16.9K
Chris Christie1.0%
·15.8K15.8K
John Kennedy1.0%
·935935
Thomas Massie1.0%
·3.5M1.8M
Marjorie Taylor Greene0.8%
·3.1M1.7M
Josh Hawley0.8%
·1.6M1.4M
Rand Paul0.7%
·1.4M1.2M

20 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ J.D. Vance ■ Marco Rubio ■ Ron DeSantis · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 44%, followed by Marco Rubio at 16%, Ron DeSantis at 3.8%. 68.8M contracts have traded, 80.5K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the 2028 Republican presidential nominee market close?

The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

Embed these odds

Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.

<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/">2028 Republican presidential nominee odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): 2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi odds badge

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/badge.svg" alt="2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[![2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi odds](https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/badge.svg)](https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/)

Free JSON

/api/v1/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).

Cite this page

APA

2028 Republican presidential nominee: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026markets2028republicanpresidentialnominee, title = {2028 Republican presidential nominee: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-presidential-nominee/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.

Follow on Telegram

Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.