Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXPRESPERSON-28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 20%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12%, Marco Rubio at 9.7%. 68.8M contracts have traded, 492.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 20% | · | 4.2M | 2.4M |
| Jon Ossoff | 12% | · | 4.3M | 2.7M |
| Marco Rubio | 9.7% | · | 5.3M | 2.4M |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.2% | · | 4.3M | 2.5M |
| Gavin Newsom | 8.7% | +1 pts | 4.2M | 2.2M |
| Kamala Harris | 3.9% | · | 2.8M | 2.1M |
| Mark Kelly | 2.9% | · | 2.4M | 2.0M |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2.9% | · | 2.5M | 1.9M |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.8% | · | 2.5M | 2.0M |
| Josh Shapiro | 2.8% | · | 1.9M | 1.3M |
| Andy Beshear | 2.6% | · | 2.0M | 1.7M |
| Donald J. Trump | 2.5% | · | 3.6M | 2.6M |
| Tucker Carlson | 1.8% | · | 2.8M | 1.8M |
| James Talarico | 1.5% | · | 1.9M | 1.9M |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1.5% | +1 pts | 1.8M | 1.7M |
| Wes Moore | 1.2% | · | 2.4M | 1.6M |
| Thomas Massie | 1.0% | · | 1.1M | 1.0M |
| Hunter Biden | 1.0% | · | 859.3K | 818.6K |
| Ro Khanna | 1.0% | · | 511.9K | 511.9K |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 0.9% | · | 2.6M | 1.8M |
10 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ J.D. Vance ■ Jon Ossoff ■ Marco Rubio · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Gavin Newsom is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is J.D. Vance at 20%, followed by Jon Ossoff at 12%, Marco Rubio at 9.7%. 68.8M contracts have traded, 492.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 7, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-u-s-presidential-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-u-s-presidential-election-winner/">2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/2028-u-s-presidential-election-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).