Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXTAIPEIMAYOR-26NOV28
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Chiang Wan-an at 70%, followed by Shen Bo-yang at 32%, Kuo Hsi at 1.0%. 107.9K contracts have traded, 17.1K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Chiang Wan-an ■ Shen Bo-yang ■ Kuo Hsi · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Taipei mayoral election winner?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Chiang Wan-an at 70%, followed by Shen Bo-yang at 32%, Kuo Hsi at 1.0%. 107.9K contracts have traded, 17.1K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Taipei mayoral election winner market close?
The listed close date is November 28, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Taipei mayoral election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/taipei-mayoral-election-winner/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
