Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXTAIPEIMAYOR-26NOV28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Chiang Wan-an at 83%, followed by Shen Bo-yang at 18%, Kuo Hsi at 1.0%. 23.8K contracts have traded, 4.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiang Wan-an | 83% | -1 pts | 12.1K | 8.4K |
| Shen Bo-yang | 18% | +4 pts | 11.0K | 10.2K |
| Kuo Hsi | 1.0% | · | 175 | 175 |
| Hsiao Wen-kan | 1.0% | · | 175 | 175 |
| Tang Hsin-min | 1.0% | · | 175 | 175 |
| Lin Chih-cheng | 1.0% | · | 175 | 175 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Chiang Wan-an ■ Shen Bo-yang ■ Kuo Hsi · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Chiang Wan-an at 83%, followed by Shen Bo-yang at 18%, Kuo Hsi at 1.0%. 23.8K contracts have traded, 4.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 28, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/taipei-mayoral-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Taipei mayoral election winner? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/taipei-mayoral-election-winner/">Taipei mayoral election winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/taipei-mayoral-election-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).