Kalshi odds today › Elections
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXISRFORMIN-26OCT27
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gideon Sa'ar at 26%, followed by Avigdor Lieberman at 25%, Israel Katz at 25%. 33.4K contracts have traded, 26.5K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Gideon Sa'ar | 26% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 25% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Israel Katz | 25% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Ohana | 24% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Yair Lapid | 24% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Cohen | 24% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Naftali Bennett | 22% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Dermer | 5.0% | · | 2.0K | 1.0K |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 3.5% | · | 2.0K | 1.0K |
| Yoram Cohen | 2.5% | · | 3.0K | 3.0K |
| Benny Gantz | 2.0% | · | 4.0K | 3.0K |
| Yossi Cohen | 2.0% | · | 3.0K | 3.0K |
| Einat Wilf | 1.5% | · | 5.8K | 3.0K |
| Yair Golan | 1.5% | · | 4.7K | 3.0K |
| Chili Tropper | 1.5% | · | 3.6K | 3.0K |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 1.0% | · | 5.4K | 3.0K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Foreign Affairs in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Elections markets
More on this topic: Israel odds on Kalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gideon Sa'ar at 26%, followed by Avigdor Lieberman at 25%, Israel Katz at 25%. 33.4K contracts have traded, 26.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election market close?
The listed close date is October 27, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/">Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): 
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/badge.svg" alt="Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/)
Cite this page
APA
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillbeisraeliforeignministeraftertheelection, title = {Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-israeli-foreign-minister-after-the-election/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.
Follow on Telegram
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.