Snapshot October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXLJUBLJANAMAYOR-26NOV15
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Zoran Janković at 70%, followed by Luka Mesec at 16%, Anton Rop at 7.5%. 73.6K contracts have traded, 66.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoran Janković | 70% | +8 pts | 2.5K | 2.4K |
| Luka Mesec | 16% | -3 pts | 633 | 451 |
| Anton Rop | 7.5% | -6 pts | 855 | 689 |
| Aleš Primc | 1.5% | -2 pts | 3.6K | 3.0K |
| Mihael Jarc | 1.0% | -1 pts | 19.1K | 10.4K |
| Aleksandar Repić | 1.0% | -2 pts | 15.6K | 10.4K |
| Gregor Novak | 1.0% | · | 12.1K | 10.0K |
| Apolonija Simon | 1.0% | -1 pts | 10.1K | 10.1K |
| Jasmin Feratović | 1.0% | -1 pts | 9.2K | 8.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Zoran Janković ■ Luka Mesec ■ Anton Rop · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Zoran Janković at 70%, followed by Luka Mesec at 16%, Anton Rop at 7.5%. 73.6K contracts have traded, 66.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 15, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Ljubljana mayoral election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 9). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/ljubljana-mayoral-election-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsljubljanamayoralelectionwinner, title = {Ljubljana mayoral election winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-09 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/ljubljana-mayoral-election-winner/}}HTML credit
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