Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXPNEUMONICPLAGUE-01JAN27
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 1, 2027 at 18%, followed by Before December 1, 2026 at 15%, Before November 1, 2026 at 9.5%. 22.2K contracts have traded, 20.0K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Before January 1, 2027 | 18% | -23 pts | 5.9K | 4.3K |
| Before December 1, 2026 | 15% | -24 pts | 7.7K | 5.4K |
| Before November 1, 2026 | 9.5% | -14 pts | 8.6K | 6.4K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The disease is human pneumonic plague specifically. Bubonic or septicemic plague without pneumonic involvement, unspecified plague, and animal cases do not qualify. A case must be confirmed in the United States; a U.S. citizen diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed and reported in the United States qualify and need not be linked to the Russian outbreak. The first initial official confirmation must occur after Issuance and before midnight ET at the start of November 1, 2026. Symptom onset or infection before the deadline is insufficient if confirmation occurs later.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Science and Technology markets
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 1, 2027 at 18%, followed by Before December 1, 2026 at 15%, Before November 1, 2026 at 9.5%. 22.2K contracts have traded, 20.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year market close?
The listed close dates range from November 1, 2026 to January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/">Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): 
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/badge.svg" alt="Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/)
Cite this page
APA
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillapneumonicplaguecasebereportedintheusthisyear, title = {Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-a-pneumonic-plague-case-be-reported-in-the-u-s-this-year/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.
Follow on Telegram
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.