Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXALIENS-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 20, 2029 at 18%, followed by Before 2028 at 14%, Before 2027 at 4.7%. 34.4M contracts have traded, 47.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 18% | -2 pts | 647.6K | 258.4K |
| Before 2028 | 14% | +1 pts | 776.7K | 418.2K |
| Before 2027 | 4.7% | · | 28.1M | 9.6M |
| Before December | 2.5% | · | 227.6K | 141.4K |
| Before November | 1.5% | · | 516.2K | 399.2K |
| Before October | 1.0% | · | 484.3K | 441.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Jan 20, 2029 ■ Before 2028 ■ Before 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 20, 2029 at 18%, followed by Before 2028 at 14%, Before 2027 at 4.7%. 34.4M contracts have traded, 47.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to January 20, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-u-s-confirm-that-aliens-exist/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-u-s-confirm-that-aliens-exist/">Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-u-s-confirm-that-aliens-exist/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswilltheusconfirmthataliensexist, title = {Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-u-s-confirm-that-aliens-exist/}}HTML credit
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