Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXWAYMOCITY-26DEC
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Denver, CO at 96%, followed by Las Vegas, NV at 80%, Sacramento, CA at 16%. 400.2K contracts have traded, 58.9K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Denver, CO ■ Las Vegas, NV ■ Sacramento, CA · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Denver, CO at 96%, followed by Las Vegas, NV at 80%, Sacramento, CA at 16%. 400.2K contracts have traded, 58.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Where will Waymo operate in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Where will Waymo operate in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-waymo-operate-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswherewillwaymooperatein2026, title = {Where will Waymo operate in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-waymo-operate-in-2026/}}
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