San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner? Kalshi Odds: Gary McCoy 88%

Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXSFD8-26

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Gary McCoy	88%	-1 pts	5.1K	3.1K
Michael Nguyen	4.0%	-1 pts	8.6K	5.7K
Darshini Patel	3.5%	·	5.5K	2.4K
Manny Yekutiel	1.5%	·	7.1K	2.9K

■ Gary McCoy ■ Michael Nguyen ■ Darshini Patel · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

“If Manny Yekutiel wins the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”

Related Elections markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner?

As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gary McCoy at 88%, followed by Michael Nguyen at 4.0%, Darshini Patel at 3.5%. 26.3K contracts have traded, 9.5K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner market close?

The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/san-francisco-district-8-supervisor-election-winner/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketssanfranciscodistrict8supervisorelectionwinner, title = {San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/san-francisco-district-8-supervisor-election-winner/}}

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