Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXPAMFGEMP-27APR30
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 545,000 jobs at 96%, followed by Above 550,000 jobs at 90%, Above 555,000 jobs at 52%. 111.9K contracts have traded, 8.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 545,000 jobs | 96% | · | 24.4K | 2.4K |
| Above 550,000 jobs | 90% | +4 pts | 22.4K | 5.2K |
| Above 555,000 jobs | 52% | +1 pts | 27.8K | 7.2K |
| Above 560,000 jobs | 14% | · | 20.9K | 5.7K |
| Above 565,000 jobs | 5.5% | · | 14.0K | 1.8K |
| Above 570,000 jobs | 4.5% | · | 2.3K | 250 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 545,000 jobs ■ Above 550,000 jobs ■ Above 555,000 jobs · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If BLS reports Pennsylvania’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 545,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Pennsylvania Manufacturing figure in BLS’s official Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry. Employment is measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published annual-average value will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates.”
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As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 545,000 jobs at 96%, followed by Above 550,000 jobs at 90%, Above 555,000 jobs at 52%. 111.9K contracts have traded, 8.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is April 30, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/">Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketspennsylvaniaannualaveragemanufacturingemploymentin2026, title = {Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/pennsylvania-annual-average-manufacturing-employment-in-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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