How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10): Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPNOMNUM-26OCT04
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 1 at 2.5%, followed by At least 10 at 1.5%, At least 3 at 1.5%. 35.7K contracts have traded, 29.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ At least 1 ■ At least 10 ■ At least 3 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump has sent at least 1 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Oct 4, 2026 through Oct 10, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 11, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 11, 2026. The week runs from Oct 4, 2026 through Oct 10, 2026. Payout criteria If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.”
What are the Kalshi odds for How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10)?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 1 at 2.5%, followed by At least 10 at 1.5%, At least 3 at 1.5%. 35.7K contracts have traded, 29.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) market close?
The listed close date is October 11, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-nominations-will-trump-send-to-the-senate-this-week-10-4-10-10/">How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-nominations-will-trump-send-to-the-senate-this-week-10-4-10-10/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanynominationswilltrumpsendtothesenatethisweek1041010, title = {How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-nominations-will-trump-send-to-the-senate-this-week-10-4-10-10/}}
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