Kalshi odds today › Financials
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXINXY-26DEC31H1600
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 8,000 to 8,199.99 at 20%, followed by 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 18%, 7,600 to 7,799.99 at 12%. 7.6M contracts have traded, 10.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 to 8,199.99 | 20% | · | 557.6K | 275.8K |
| 7,800 to 7,999.99 | 18% | · | 536.0K | 261.8K |
| 7,600 to 7,799.99 | 12% | +1 pts | 538.4K | 215.8K |
| 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 12% | +3 pts | 528.6K | 266.5K |
| 8,200 to 8,399.99 | 11% | -1 pts | 368.7K | 216.4K |
| 7,200 to 7,399.99 | 5.5% | · | 362.0K | 208.9K |
| 8,400 to 8,599.99 | 3.5% | +1 pts | 291.2K | 190.3K |
| 6,800 to 6,999.99 | 2.5% | +1 pts | 348.6K | 233.2K |
| 7,000 to 7,199.99 | 2.5% | · | 317.4K | 215.9K |
| 8,600 to 8,799.99 | 2.5% | · | 270.8K | 175.0K |
| 6,600 to 6,799.99 | 2.0% | -1 pts | 274.6K | 224.0K |
| 6,200 to 6,399.99 | 2.0% | · | 246.9K | 206.2K |
| 8,800 to 9,000 | 1.5% | · | 291.8K | 182.8K |
| 6,400 to 6,599.99 | 1.5% | · | 285.1K | 218.4K |
| 9,000.01 or above | 1.5% | · | 271.6K | 179.5K |
| 3,999.99 or below | 1.0% | · | 456.8K | 412.5K |
| 6,000 to 6,199.99 | 1.0% | · | 239.6K | 205.8K |
| 5,800 to 5,999.99 | 1.0% | · | 193.3K | 156.6K |
| 5,600 to 5,799.99 | 1.0% | · | 167.4K | 127.2K |
| 5,400 to 5,599.99 | 1.0% | · | 143.2K | 116.8K |
7 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ 8,000 to 8,199.99 ■ 7,800 to 7,999.99 ■ 7,600 to 7,799.99 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is 8,000 to 8,199.99 at 20%, followed by 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 18%, 7,600 to 7,799.99 at 12%. 7.6M contracts have traded, 10.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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S&P close price end of 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/s-p-close-price-end-of-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsspclosepriceendof2026, title = {S&P close price end of 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/s-p-close-price-end-of-2026/}}HTML credit
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