Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXINXPOS-26DEC31H1900
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 88% (88¢ per contract), with 1.2M contracts traded in total and 39.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Will the S&P finish positive this year?
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 88% (88¢ per contract), with 1.2M contracts traded in total and 39.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will the S&P finish positive this year market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/">Will the S&P finish positive this year? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/badge.svg" alt="Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/)
Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 1). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillthespfinishpositivethisyear, title = {Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-01 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
