Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXBRAZILPRES1R-26OCT04
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 3.3% (3¢ per contract), with 66.0K contracts traded in total and 18.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?
As of October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 3.3% (3¢ per contract), with 66.0K contracts traded in total and 18.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election market close?
The listed close date is October 4, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/">Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/badge.svg" alt="Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/)
Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 1). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 1, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillanyonewinoutrightinthebrazilpresidentialelection, title = {Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-01 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-anyone-win-outright-in-the-brazil-presidential-election/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
