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Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KX2028DRUN-28

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 93%, followed by Andy Beshear at 91%, J.B. Pritzker at 91%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 46.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Pete Buttigieg93%
+1 pts13.6K6.5K
Andy Beshear91%
·9.1K5.4K
J.B. Pritzker91%
-3 pts21.9K8.9K
Ro Khanna90%
-4 pts44.6K20.3K
Rahm Emanuel89%
+1 pts34.7K21.1K
Gavin Newsom84%
+7 pts93.4K48.0K
Wes Moore80%
+1 pts77.8K20.7K
Josh Shapiro80%
-2 pts17.6K6.6K
Cory Booker78%
-2 pts23.2K16.4K
Mark Kelly75%
+2 pts29.7K15.2K
Jon Ossoff68%
-2 pts63.1K34.3K
Chris Van Hollen68%
+10 pts12.0K8.9K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez63%
+4 pts180.0K77.2K
Raphael Warnock60%
+2 pts23.8K11.1K
Mitch Landrieu60%
·1.8K1.4K
Kamala Harris56%
-4 pts183.1K67.9K
Ruben Gallego52%
·41.8K9.4K
Elissa Slotkin48%
-7 pts29.6K13.0K
Gretchen Whitmer40%
+3 pts48.4K8.3K
Jared Polis36%
·10.9K6.9K

25 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 7

■ Pete Buttigieg ■ Andy Beshear ■ J.B. Pritzker · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 93%, followed by Andy Beshear at 91%, J.B. Pritzker at 91%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 46.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillrunforthedemocraticpresidentialnominationin2028, title = {Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/}}

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