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Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KX2028DRUN-28

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 86%, followed by Ro Khanna at 85%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 965.3K contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Pete Buttigieg86%
·11.6K5.5K
Ro Khanna85%
·38.2K16.2K
Gavin Newsom82%
·68.5K32.0K
Andy Beshear82%
+3 pts7.5K4.2K
Rahm Emanuel82%
-1 pts31.7K18.5K
J.B. Pritzker81%
·15.4K6.8K
Josh Shapiro79%
·11.0K3.5K
Cory Booker74%
·18.7K15.5K
Elissa Slotkin74%
·24.4K12.8K
Wes Moore72%
·63.4K21.1K
Mark Kelly66%
·25.7K13.7K
Jon Ossoff65%
+3 pts32.6K19.8K
Chris Murphy65%
·2.4K1.7K
Mitch Landrieu64%
·1.6K1.3K
Chris Van Hollen60%
·8.9K7.8K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez55%
-3 pts152.5K66.4K
Kamala Harris55%
-6 pts147.6K57.8K
Ruben Gallego45%
+7 pts39.6K8.0K
Raphael Warnock40%
·8.9K4.5K
Jared Polis38%
·9.8K6.6K

18 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ Pete Buttigieg ■ Ro Khanna ■ Gavin Newsom · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 86%, followed by Ro Khanna at 85%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 965.3K contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillrunforthedemocraticpresidentialnominationin2028, title = {Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/}}

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