Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KX2028DRUN-28
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 86%, followed by Ro Khanna at 85%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 965.3K contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Buttigieg | 86% | · | 11.6K | 5.5K |
| Ro Khanna | 85% | · | 38.2K | 16.2K |
| Gavin Newsom | 82% | · | 68.5K | 32.0K |
| Andy Beshear | 82% | +3 pts | 7.5K | 4.2K |
| Rahm Emanuel | 82% | -1 pts | 31.7K | 18.5K |
| J.B. Pritzker | 81% | · | 15.4K | 6.8K |
| Josh Shapiro | 79% | · | 11.0K | 3.5K |
| Cory Booker | 74% | · | 18.7K | 15.5K |
| Elissa Slotkin | 74% | · | 24.4K | 12.8K |
| Wes Moore | 72% | · | 63.4K | 21.1K |
| Mark Kelly | 66% | · | 25.7K | 13.7K |
| Jon Ossoff | 65% | +3 pts | 32.6K | 19.8K |
| Chris Murphy | 65% | · | 2.4K | 1.7K |
| Mitch Landrieu | 64% | · | 1.6K | 1.3K |
| Chris Van Hollen | 60% | · | 8.9K | 7.8K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 55% | -3 pts | 152.5K | 66.4K |
| Kamala Harris | 55% | -6 pts | 147.6K | 57.8K |
| Ruben Gallego | 45% | +7 pts | 39.6K | 8.0K |
| Raphael Warnock | 40% | · | 8.9K | 4.5K |
| Jared Polis | 38% | · | 9.8K | 6.6K |
18 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Pete Buttigieg ■ Ro Khanna ■ Gavin Newsom · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 86%, followed by Ro Khanna at 85%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 965.3K contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/">Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/badge.svg" alt="Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a> [](https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/)
/api/v1/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillrunforthedemocraticpresidentialnominationin2028, title = {Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.