Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KX2028DRUN-28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 91%, followed by Andy Beshear at 86%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 913.7K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Buttigieg | 91% | · | 11.3K | 5.4K |
| Andy Beshear | 86% | · | 7.4K | 4.1K |
| Gavin Newsom | 82% | -3 pts | 67.4K | 32.2K |
| Rahm Emanuel | 82% | · | 29.2K | 17.2K |
| Josh Shapiro | 80% | · | 10.9K | 3.5K |
| Cory Booker | 79% | -3 pts | 18.5K | 15.5K |
| J.B. Pritzker | 78% | +2 pts | 12.1K | 5.3K |
| Wes Moore | 76% | · | 63.1K | 21.4K |
| Ro Khanna | 76% | · | 32.3K | 10.7K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 73% | +1 pts | 142.3K | 63.5K |
| Mark Kelly | 68% | · | 25.2K | 13.3K |
| Jon Ossoff | 66% | -1 pts | 31.4K | 19.3K |
| Mitch Landrieu | 64% | +9 pts | 1.6K | 1.3K |
| Chris Murphy | 64% | · | 2.4K | 1.7K |
| Kamala Harris | 50% | -2 pts | 140.9K | 53.6K |
| Elissa Slotkin | 42% | · | 16.3K | 5.3K |
| Chris Van Hollen | 39% | · | 4.7K | 4.0K |
| Jared Polis | 38% | · | 9.8K | 6.6K |
| Raphael Warnock | 34% | · | 8.4K | 4.3K |
| Shawn Fain | 32% | · | 17 | 11 |
18 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Pete Buttigieg ■ Andy Beshear ■ Gavin Newsom · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Buttigieg at 91%, followed by Andy Beshear at 86%, Gavin Newsom at 82%. 913.7K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028/">Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/who-will-run-for-the-democratic-presidential-nomination-in-2028.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).