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Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi Odds

Settled or closed · Category: Elections · Event KXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04

This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flavio Bolsonaro as settled Yes.

Result

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.”

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Related Elections markets

More on this topic: Brazil odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flavio Bolsonaro as settled Yes.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election market close?

The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/">Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

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APA

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowilladvanceinthebrazilianpresidentialelection, title = {Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-advance-in-the-brazilian-presidential-election/}}

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