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Unemployment in September: Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Economics · Event KXU3-26SEP
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Above 3.7%, Above 3.8%, Above 3.9% as settled Yes.
Result
- Above 3.7%: settled Yes
- Above 3.8%: settled Yes
- Above 3.9%: settled Yes
- Above 4.0%: settled Yes
- Above 4.1%: settled Yes
- Above 4.2%: settled No
- Above 4.3%: settled No
- Above 4.4%: settled No
- Above 4.5%: settled No
- Above 4.6%: settled No
- Above 4.7%: settled No
- Above 4.8%: settled No
- Above 4.9%: settled No
- Above 5.0%: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Economics markets
More on this topic: Jobs and unemployment odds on Kalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Unemployment in September?
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists Above 3.7%, Above 3.8%, Above 3.9% as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Unemployment in September market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/unemployment-in-september/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Unemployment in September Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-september/">Unemployment in September odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Cite this page
APA
Unemployment in September: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-september/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsunemploymentinseptember, title = {Unemployment in September: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-september/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-september/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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