Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXDHOUSESEATS-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 249 at 16%, followed by 230-233 at 12%, 234-237 at 12%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 70.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 249 | 16% | +3 pts | 392.2K | 294.1K |
| 230-233 | 12% | +1 pts | 138.8K | 100.5K |
| 234-237 | 12% | · | 118.8K | 88.8K |
| 238-241 | 12% | · | 125.5K | 87.0K |
| 226-229 | 11% | +1 pts | 112.7K | 89.2K |
| 242-245 | 9.8% | +2 pts | 113.1K | 79.0K |
| 222-225 | 8.3% | · | 104.7K | 77.1K |
| 246-249 | 7.3% | +2 pts | 137.4K | 87.6K |
| 218-221 | 5.3% | · | 116.9K | 82.6K |
| 214-217 | 4.4% | +1 pts | 237.7K | 147.4K |
| Below 210 | 2.8% | · | 308.6K | 227.9K |
| 210-213 | 2.6% | · | 207.2K | 166.8K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 249 ■ 230-233 ■ 234-237 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 249 at 16%, followed by 230-233 at 12%, 234-237 at 12%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 70.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is February 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms/">How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/how-many-house-seats-will-democrats-hold-after-the-midterms.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).