Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXDTICKET-28NOV07
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 12%, followed by Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9.4%, Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg at 3.9%. 83.5K contracts have traded, 1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12% | +24 pts | 15.6K | 14.2K |
| Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.4% | · | 23.1K | 12.2K |
| Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg | 3.9% | · | 3.3K | 3.3K |
| Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear | 3.5% | · | 6.5K | 5.9K |
| Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer | 2.9% | · | 4.2K | 4.2K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg | 2.8% | · | 1.6K | 1.3K |
| Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly | 2.8% | · | 539 | 498 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear | 2.6% | · | 2.6K | 2.0K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff | 2.5% | · | 8.3K | 7.6K |
| Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff | 2.5% | · | 3.8K | 3.8K |
| Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro | 2.2% | +1 pts | 828 | 828 |
| Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear | 1.9% | · | 413 | 412 |
| Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer | 1.9% | · | 374 | 362 |
| Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg | 1.9% | · | 354 | 353 |
| Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore | 1.9% | · | 177 | 176 |
| Gavin Newsom and James Talarico | 1.5% | · | 255 | 255 |
| Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin | 1.5% | · | 21 | 21 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego | 1.2% | · | 5.0K | 5.0K |
| Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 1.2% | · | 3.0K | 3.0K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly | 1.2% | · | 1.2K | 1.2K |
6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ■ Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ■ Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 12%, followed by Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9.4%, Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg at 3.9%. 83.5K contracts have traded, 1.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Democratic Presidential ticket Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/">2028 Democratic Presidential ticket odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026markets2028democraticpresidentialticket, title = {2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/}}HTML credit
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