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2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXDTICKET-28NOV07

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg at 30%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear at 5.6%, Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 5.0%. 53.8K contracts have traded, 217 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg30%
·1.1K1.1K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear5.6%
·2.4K2.0K
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.0%
+3 pts17.3K8.1K
Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez4.0%
·7.3K7.0K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff4.0%
·7.8K7.2K
Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear3.6%
·2.0K1.3K
Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3.5%
·3.0K3.0K
Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff3.0%
·872871
Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly3.0%
·513472
Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer2.6%
·1.4K1.4K
Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro2.5%
·615615
Gavin Newsom and James Talarico2.5%
·253253
Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer2.5%
·129117
Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin2.5%
·2121
Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear2.0%
·378377
Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg2.0%
·158157
Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore2.0%
·127126
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly1.6%
·1.2K1.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego1.1%
·5.0K5.0K
Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego1.1%
·1.0K513

5 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 28Sep 24

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

Related Elections markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg at 30%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear at 5.6%, Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 5.0%. 53.8K contracts have traded, 217 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket market close?

The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026markets2028democraticpresidentialticket, title = {2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/}}

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