Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXDTICKET-28NOV07
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.5%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff at 6.2%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear at 5.3%. 59.4K contracts have traded, 504 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ■ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.5%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff at 6.2%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear at 5.3%. 59.4K contracts have traded, 504 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket market close?
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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2028 Democratic Presidential ticket: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-democratic-presidential-ticket/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
