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When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXNEWDRUGAPPLICATIONCMPS-360

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is before April 2027 at 96%, followed by before December at 93%, before 2027 at 92%. 33.2K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
before April 202796%
·938887
before December93%
·6.5K4.7K
before 202792%
·1.8K1.6K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 6

■ before April 2027 ■ before December ■ before 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is before April 2027 at 96%, followed by before December at 93%, before 2027 at 92%. 33.2K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin market close?

The listed close dates range from December 1, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-compass-pathways-submit-a-nda-for-comp360-psilocybin/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillcompasspathwayssubmitandaforcomp360psilocybin, title = {When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-compass-pathways-submit-a-nda-for-comp360-psilocybin/}}

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