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When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXNEWDRUGAPPLICATIONCMPS-360

As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is before April 2027 at 84%, followed by before 2027 at 73%, before December at 60%. 24.5K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
before April 202784%
·403381
before 202773%
·217142
before December60%
·1.3K566
before November34%
·6.3K3.6K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Oct 9

■ before 2027 ■ before December · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is before April 2027 at 84%, followed by before 2027 at 73%, before December at 60%. 24.5K contracts have traded, 0 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin market close?

The listed close dates range from November 1, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-compass-pathways-submit-a-nda-for-comp360-psilocybin/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillcompasspathwayssubmitandaforcomp360psilocybin, title = {When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-compass-pathways-submit-a-nda-for-comp360-psilocybin/}}

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