Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXWAAEROEMP-27APR30
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 80,000 jobs at 98%, followed by Above 81,000 jobs at 96%, Above 82,000 jobs at 94%. 430.9K contracts have traded, 105.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 82,000 jobs · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026?
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 80,000 jobs at 98%, followed by Above 81,000 jobs at 96%, Above 82,000 jobs at 94%. 430.9K contracts have traded, 105.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is April 30, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 9). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/washington-aerospace-manufacturing-employment-average-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswashingtonaerospacemanufacturingemploymentaveragein2026, title = {Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-09 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/washington-aerospace-manufacturing-employment-average-in-2026/}}
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