Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXKYBOURBONBARRELS-26DEC31
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 15.5 million barrels at 96%, followed by Above 16.0 million barrels at 90%, Above 16.5 million barrels at 78%. 66.3K contracts have traded, 14 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 15.5 million barrels ■ Above 16.0 million barrels ■ Above 16.5 million barrels · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 15.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Bourbon barrel inventory derived from inventories submitted by Kentucky distilleries and warehousing companies to the Kentucky Department of Revenue. Only barrels containing Bourbon will count; barrels containing other aging spirits will not. The January 1, 2025 figures, for example, were 16.1M Bourbon barrels versus 17.1M total barrels of all aging spirits.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 15.5 million barrels at 96%, followed by Above 16.0 million barrels at 90%, Above 16.5 million barrels at 78%. 66.3K contracts have traded, 14 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026/">Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketskentuckyagingbourbonbarrelinventoryasofjanuary12026, title = {Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026/}}
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