Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXKYBOURBONBARRELS-26DEC31
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 15.5 million barrels at 96%, followed by Above 16.0 million barrels at 94%, Above 16.5 million barrels at 66%. 53.0K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15.5 million barrels | 96% | · | 9.4K | 1.2K |
| Above 16.0 million barrels | 94% | +3 pts | 8.7K | 1.6K |
| Above 16.5 million barrels | 66% | -4 pts | 9.4K | 1.7K |
| Above 17.0 million barrels | 29% | · | 12.4K | 2.1K |
| Above 17.5 million barrels | 14% | · | 6.1K | 2.0K |
| Above 18.0 million barrels | 4.5% | · | 7.0K | 2.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 15.5 million barrels ■ Above 16.0 million barrels ■ Above 16.5 million barrels · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 15.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Bourbon barrel inventory derived from inventories submitted by Kentucky distilleries and warehousing companies to the Kentucky Department of Revenue. Only barrels containing Bourbon will count; barrels containing other aging spirits will not. The January 1, 2025 figures, for example, were 16.1M Bourbon barrels versus 17.1M total barrels of all aging spirits.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 15.5 million barrels at 96%, followed by Above 16.0 million barrels at 94%, Above 16.5 million barrels at 66%. 53.0K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026/">Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/kentucky-aging-bourbon-barrel-inventory-as-of-january-1-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).