Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXU3-26OCT
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.7% at 100%, followed by Above 3.8% at 98%, Above 3.9% at 90%. 62.1K contracts have traded, 16.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 3.7% ■ Above 3.8% ■ Above 3.9% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Unemployment in October?
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.7% at 100%, followed by Above 3.8% at 98%, Above 3.9% at 90%. 62.1K contracts have traded, 16.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Unemployment in October market close?
The listed close date is November 6, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/unemployment-in-october/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Unemployment in October Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-october/">Unemployment in October odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-october/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/unemployment-in-october/badge.svg" alt="Unemployment in October Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-october/)
Unemployment in October: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-october/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsunemploymentinoctober, title = {Unemployment in October: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/unemployment-in-october/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
