Kalshi odds today › Climate and Weather
Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXTSNOWFALLBIGSKYM-26DEC
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 5 inches at 98%, followed by Above 10 inches at 98%, Above 15 inches at 92%. 134.3K contracts have traded, 27.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5 inches | 98% | · | 53.1K | 28.7K |
| Above 10 inches | 98% | +5 pts | 20.4K | 10.9K |
| Above 15 inches | 92% | +2 pts | 9.9K | 8.2K |
| Above 20 inches | 87% | -5 pts | 3.6K | 2.3K |
| Above 25 inches | 80% | · | 60 | 60 |
| Above 30 inches | 70% | · | 108 | 108 |
| Above 35 inches | 66% | -2 pts | 2.2K | 1.4K |
| Above 40 inches | 54% | +1 pts | 5.5K | 5.3K |
| Above 45 inches | 44% | · | 7.8K | 5.9K |
| Above 50 inches | 34% | · | 31.5K | 17.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 5 inches ■ Above 10 inches ■ Above 15 inches · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calendar month of December 2026, measured in inches and reported by OnTheSnow. Use OnTheSnow's monthly snowfall figure for that month in the 2026-27 season on the historical-snowfall page at https://www.onthesnow.com/montana/big-sky-resort/historical-snowfall as the published measurement of that calendar-month accumulation. The reported figure must correspond to the specified month and season. After the calendar month has ended and the monthly figure is available, the market resolves to Yes if the reported total is strictly greater than 5 inches, and to No if it is equal to or below that threshold. Use the initial …”
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More on this topic: Weather odds on Kalshi
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 5 inches at 98%, followed by Above 10 inches at 98%, Above 15 inches at 92%. 134.3K contracts have traded, 27.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/total-snowfall-in-big-sky-in-december-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/total-snowfall-in-big-sky-in-december-2026/">Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/total-snowfall-in-big-sky-in-december-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketstotalsnowfallinbigskyindecember2026, title = {Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/total-snowfall-in-big-sky-in-december-2026/}}HTML credit
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