Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds: Above 1034 Ft 68%

Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXMEAD-26DEC

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Above 1034 Ft	68%	+20 pts	421	373
Above 1033 Ft	57%	·	1.1K	651
Above 1035 Ft	29%	·	990	574
Above 1036 Ft	28%	·	1.8K	990
Above 1037 Ft	19%	·	2.0K	756
Above 1038 Ft	17%	·	1.6K	875
Above 1039 Ft	15%	·	11.4K	1.9K
Above 1040 Ft	4.5%	·	6.0K	1.4K

■ Above 1034 Ft ■ Above 1033 Ft ■ Above 1035 Ft · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

“If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1033 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Related Climate and Weather markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 1034 Ft at 68%, followed by Above 1033 Ft at 57%, Above 1035 Ft at 29%. 25.2K contracts have traded, 3 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026 market close?

The listed close date is January 7, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/lake-mead-end-of-month-water-elevation-in-dec-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketslakemeadendofmonthwaterelevationindec2026, title = {Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/lake-mead-end-of-month-water-elevation-in-dec-2026/}}

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