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Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXPHILSNOWM-26DEC

As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2 inches at 34%, followed by Above 4 inches at 24%, Above 6 inches at 16%. 69.1K contracts have traded, 68.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 2 inches34%
+13 pts14.0K13.5K
Above 4 inches24%
+3 pts2.5K1.6K
Above 6 inches16%
-14 pts21.7K19.2K
Above 8 inches12%
+5 pts27.4K25.1K
Above 10 inches7.5%
-3 pts3.6K2.3K
Above 12 inches4.5%
-1 pts66

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6Oct 15

■ Above 2 inches ■ Above 4 inches ■ Above 6 inches · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the total snowfall in Philadelphia in December 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Snowfall data is available through The Weather Company’s dashboard at https://weather.com/kalshi. Select “Snowfall,” choose the city and station specified in this market’s rules, and use “Custom” to select the specified calendar period. Snowfall is reported in inches for each station’s local calendar day. Not all weather data is the same. Forecasts and other weather websites may report different figures. Preliminary readings may change, and displayed totals may be incomplete when daily reports are missing. Resolution uses initial non-preliminary official values reported by The Weather Company, subject to the contract’s source hierarchy, correction, trace, and contingency provisions.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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More on this topic: Weather odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026?

As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2 inches at 34%, followed by Above 4 inches at 24%, Above 6 inches at 16%. 69.1K contracts have traded, 68.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/snow-in-philadelphia-in-dec-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketssnowinphiladelphiaindec2026, title = {Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/snow-in-philadelphia-in-dec-2026/}}

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