Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXCHINAAI-26OCT05
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Xiaomi at 90%, followed by Moonshot at 3.0%, ByteDance at 3.0%. 83.3K contracts have traded, 75.2K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Xiaomi | 90% | +88 pts | 13.2K | 11.8K |
| Moonshot | 3.0% | +1 pts | 987 | 778 |
| ByteDance | 3.0% | +2 pts | 35.6K | 35.1K |
| Tencent | 3.0% | +2 pts | 16.5K | 16.1K |
| Alibaba | 3.0% | -78 pts | 2.7K | 2.2K |
| Z.ai | 2.5% | -8 pts | 713 | 713 |
| DeepSeek | 2.0% | · | 8.8K | 8.5K |
| MiniMax | 1.5% | · | 561 | 561 |
| Meituan | 1.5% | · | 561 | 561 |
| Baidu | 1.0% | · | 3.7K | 2.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Science and Technology markets
More on this topic: AI odds on Kalshi · China odds on Kalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th?
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Xiaomi at 90%, followed by Moonshot at 3.0%, ByteDance at 3.0%. 83.3K contracts have traded, 75.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th market close?
The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/">Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown): 
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/badge.svg" alt="Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/)
Cite this page
APA
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopchineseaicompanyweekofseptember28th, title = {Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 03:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-week-of-september-28th/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.