Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXCHINAAI-26SEP30
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Xiaomi at 86%, followed by Alibaba at 6.0%, Moonshot at 4.5%. 54.8K contracts have traded, 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Xiaomi ■ Alibaba ■ Moonshot · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Top Chinese AI Company this month?
As of September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Xiaomi at 86%, followed by Alibaba at 6.0%, Moonshot at 4.5%. 54.8K contracts have traded, 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Top Chinese AI Company this month market close?
The listed close date is September 30, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Top Chinese AI Company this month: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 03:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-this-month/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopchineseaicompanythismonth, title = {Top Chinese AI Company this month: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 03:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-chinese-ai-company-this-month/}}
