Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC · Category: Elections · Event SENATEMT-26
As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Kurt Alme at 90%, followed by Seth Bodnar at 9.8%, Alani Bankhead at 2.4%. 589.4K contracts have traded, 29.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Kurt Alme ■ Seth Bodnar ■ Alani Bankhead · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Montana Senate winner?
As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Kurt Alme at 90%, followed by Seth Bodnar at 9.8%, Alani Bankhead at 2.4%. 589.4K contracts have traded, 29.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Montana Senate winner market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Montana Senate winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/montana-senate-winner/
