Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXMISENATE-26
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 66%, followed by Mike Rogers at 34%, Haley Stevens at 1.0%. 2.4M contracts have traded, 37.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Abdul El-Sayed ■ Mike Rogers · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes. The listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Michigan Senate winner? (Person)?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 66%, followed by Mike Rogers at 34%, Haley Stevens at 1.0%. 2.4M contracts have traded, 37.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Michigan Senate winner? (Person) market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Michigan Senate winner? (Person): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/michigan-senate-winner-person/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
