Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXMETXCOMBO-26NOV
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is James Talarico and Troy Jackson at 54%, followed by Ken Paxton and Susan Collins at 24%, Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson at 19%. 890.2K contracts have traded, 15.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico and Troy Jackson | 54% | -1 pts | 209.8K | 179.4K |
| Ken Paxton and Susan Collins | 24% | -1 pts | 265.0K | 194.0K |
| Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson | 19% | +1 pts | 93.2K | 64.2K |
| James Talarico and Susan Collins | 11% | -1 pts | 208.7K | 118.8K |
| James Talarico and Graham Platner | 1.0% | · | 58.3K | 19.1K |
| Ken Paxton and Graham Platner | 1.0% | · | 55.2K | 23.6K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ James Talarico and Troy Jackson ■ Ken Paxton and Susan Collins ■ Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur: Texas Senate: James Talarico wins, Maine Senate: Susan Collins wins, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Texas Senate (USELECTION), Maine Senate (USELECTION). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 midterms.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is James Talarico and Troy Jackson at 54%, followed by Ken Paxton and Susan Collins at 24%, Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson at 19%. 890.2K contracts have traded, 15.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/maine-texas-senate-combo/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/maine-texas-senate-combo/">Maine-Texas Senate Combo odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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