Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXMESENOUTCOME-27JAN
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Democratic party wins at 65%, followed by Republican party wins at 34%. 566.1K contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party wins | 65% | -3 pts | 475.2K | 117.0K |
| Republican party wins | 34% | +5 pts | 90.9K | 40.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Democratic party wins ■ Republican party wins · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Democratic party wins at 65%, followed by Republican party wins at 34%. 566.1K contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Maine Senate Exact Outcome Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome/">Maine Senate Exact Outcome odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Maine Senate Exact Outcome: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmainesenateexactoutcome, title = {Maine Senate Exact Outcome: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 19:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/maine-senate-exact-outcome/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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