Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXTHREESTATESEN-26NOV03
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Republican sweep at 56%, followed by Nebraska, South Carolina at 15%, South Carolina at 15%. 34.9K contracts have traded, 99 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Republican sweep ■ Nebraska, South Carolina ■ South Carolina · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a candidate other than a Republican in Nebraska's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Republican in Kansas's U.S. Senate election, and a candidate other than a Republican in South Carolina's U.S. Senate election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes. A Republican candidate is a candidate listed with the Republican Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Republican. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Republican sweep at 56%, followed by Nebraska, South Carolina at 15%, South Carolina at 15%. 34.9K contracts have traded, 99 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/lean-r-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-republicans-win/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsleanrsenateracecombowhichstateswillrepublicanswin, title = {Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/lean-r-senate-race-combo-which-states-will-republicans-win/}}
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