Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXHURPATHAL-31DEC26ISAIAS
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 2.0% (2¢ per contract), with 64.8K contracts traded in total and 42.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If, after this market is issued and before 12:00 AM EST on December 31, 2026, the 2026 named storm Isaias has an official National Hurricane Center track segment that intersects with or terminates within the defined Alabama boundary, where both consecutive advisories report sustained winds of at least 74 mph, the advisories are issued no more than 12 hours apart, and both contain latitude/longitude coordinates rounded to the nearest 0.1 degree, then the market resolves to Yes. A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 2.0% (2¢ per contract), with 64.8K contracts traded in total and 42.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026 market close?
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-hurricane-isaias-cross-alabama-before-dec-31-2026/">Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-hurricane-isaias-cross-alabama-before-dec-31-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillhurricaneisaiascrossalabamabeforedec312026, title = {Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-hurricane-isaias-cross-alabama-before-dec-31-2026/}}
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