Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Elections · Event SENATEKS-26
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Roger Marshall at 70%, followed by Adam Hamilton at 30%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 30.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Marshall | 70% | -1 pts | 596.7K | 397.1K |
| Adam Hamilton | 30% | · | 911.3K | 692.3K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Roger Marshall ■ Adam Hamilton · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Roger Marshall at 70%, followed by Adam Hamilton at 30%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 30.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/kansas-senate-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/kansas-senate-winner/">Kansas Senate winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/kansas-senate-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/kansas-senate-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketskansassenatewinner, title = {Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/kansas-senate-winner/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/kansas-senate-winner/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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