Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXPAYROLLS-26SEP
As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -25,000 at 94%, followed by Above 0 at 89%, Above 20,000 at 88%. 115.0K contracts have traded, 20.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above -25,000 ■ Above 0 ■ Above 20,000 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -25,000 at 94%, followed by Above 0 at 89%, Above 20,000 at 88%. 115.0K contracts have traded, 20.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Jobs numbers in Sep 2026 market close?
The listed close date is October 2, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-sep-2026/">Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-sep-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsjobsnumbersinsep2026, title = {Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 01:50 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-sep-2026/}}
