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CPI in September: Kalshi Odds

Settled or closed · Category: Economics · Event KXCPI-26SEP

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Above -0.4%, Above -0.3%, Above -0.2% as settled Yes.

Result

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.4% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will always close at 8:29 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.”

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Related Economics markets

More on this topic: CPI inflation odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for CPI in September?

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Above -0.4%, Above -0.3%, Above -0.2% as settled Yes.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the CPI in September market close?

The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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Cite this page

APA

CPI in September: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-september/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketscpiinseptember, title = {CPI in September: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-in-september/}}

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