Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXGOVAK-26
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 74%, followed by Bernadette Wilson at 21%, Dave Bronson at 2.5%. 707.9K contracts have traded, 25.5K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ■ Bernadette Wilson ■ Dave Bronson · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Tom Begich is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Alaska Governor winner?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 74%, followed by Bernadette Wilson at 21%, Dave Bronson at 2.5%. 707.9K contracts have traded, 25.5K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Alaska Governor winner market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Alaska Governor winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alaska-governor-winner/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
