Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Companies · Event KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before April 2027 at 82%, followed by Before March 2027 at 15%, Before February 2027 at 5.5%. 5.0M contracts have traded, 22.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before April 2027 | 82% | -1 pts | 16.6K | 6.9K |
| Before March 2027 | 15% | -1 pts | 48.3K | 27.7K |
| Before February 2027 | 5.5% | · | 60.1K | 35.9K |
| Before 2027 | 3.5% | · | 1.4M | 386.0K |
| Before October | 1.0% | · | 3.5M | 1.6M |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before April 2027 ■ Before March 2027 ■ Before February 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before April 2027 at 82%, followed by Before March 2027 at 15%, Before February 2027 at 5.5%. 5.0M contracts have traded, 22.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/">When will Apple release the iPhone 18? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillapplereleasetheiphone18, title = {When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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