When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Companies · Event KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before April 2027 at 86%, followed by Before March 2027 at 15%, Before February 2027 at 4.0%. 5.1M contracts have traded, 11.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before April 2027 ■ Before March 2027 ■ Before February 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before April 2027 at 86%, followed by Before March 2027 at 15%, Before February 2027 at 4.0%. 5.1M contracts have traded, 11.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the When will Apple release the iPhone 18 market close?
The listed close dates range from January 1, 2027 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillapplereleasetheiphone18, title = {When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-apple-release-the-iphone-18/}}
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