Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXTECHRANKLISTAICODE-26SEP30
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Claude at 86%, followed by ChatGPT at 9.5%, Qwen at 4.0%. 118.5K contracts have traded, 32.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 86% | +48 pts | 24.3K | 13.3K |
| ChatGPT | 9.5% | -54 pts | 64.3K | 15.2K |
| Qwen | 4.0% | · | 5.1K | 3.1K |
| Grok | 2.0% | · | 3.7K | 2.6K |
| Gemini | 1.0% | · | 5.8K | 4.3K |
| Dola | 1.0% | · | 5.1K | 3.7K |
| Kimi | 1.0% | · | 3.5K | 2.5K |
| GLM | 1.0% | · | 3.5K | 2.5K |
| MiniMax | 1.0% | · | 3.3K | 2.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Claude ■ ChatGPT ■ Qwen · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Claude at 86%, followed by ChatGPT at 9.5%, Qwen at 4.0%. 118.5K contracts have traded, 32.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is September 30, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/top-coding-ai-this-month-arena-ai/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-coding-ai-this-month-arena-ai/">Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-coding-ai-this-month-arena-ai/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopcodingaithismontharenaai, title = {Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-coding-ai-this-month-arena-ai/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/top-coding-ai-this-month-arena-ai/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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