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Swiss National Bank rate decision in December: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCBDSWISS-26DEC10
As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Maintain current rate at 70%, followed by Hike 1-25bps at 17%, Cut 1-25bps at 2.5%. 20.6K contracts have traded, 19.1K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Maintain current rate | 70% | -6 pts | 3.5K | 2.3K |
| Hike 1-25bps | 17% | · | 7.1K | 2.5K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 2.5% | -4 pts | 4.4K | 3.6K |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1.5% | -4 pts | 3.3K | 2.2K |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1.5% | · | 2.3K | 1.7K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Swiss National Bank takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December monetary policy assessment, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Swiss National Bank rate decision in December?
As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Maintain current rate at 70%, followed by Hike 1-25bps at 17%, Cut 1-25bps at 2.5%. 20.6K contracts have traded, 19.1K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Swiss National Bank rate decision in December market close?
The listed close date is December 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Swiss National Bank rate decision in December: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/swiss-national-bank-rate-decision-in-december/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsswissnationalbankratedecisionindecember, title = {Swiss National Bank rate decision in December: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 01:50 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/swiss-national-bank-rate-decision-in-december/}}HTML credit
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