Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXPAYROLLS-26OCT
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -25,000 at 92%, followed by Above 0 at 81%, Above 10,000 at 80%. 66.7K contracts have traded, 38.2K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above -25,000 ■ Above 0 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Jobs numbers in October 2026?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above -25,000 at 92%, followed by Above 0 at 81%, Above 10,000 at 80%. 66.7K contracts have traded, 38.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Jobs numbers in October 2026 market close?
The listed close date is November 6, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-october-2026/">Jobs numbers in October 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Jobs numbers in October 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-october-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsjobsnumbersinoctober2026, title = {Jobs numbers in October 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/jobs-numbers-in-october-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
