Kalshi odds today › Economics
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Economics · Event KXCPIYOY-26SEP
This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Above 3.0%, Above 3.1%, Above 3.2% as settled Yes.
Result
- Above 3.0%: settled Yes
- Above 3.1%: settled Yes
- Above 3.2%: settled Yes
- Above 3.3%: settled Yes
- Above 3.4%: settled Yes
- Above 3.5%: settled Yes
- Above 3.6%: settled Yes
- Above 3.7%: settled No
- Above 3.8%: settled No
- Above 3.9%: settled No
- Above 4.0%: settled No
- Above 4.1%: settled No
- Above 4.2%: settled No
- Above 4.3%: settled No
- Above 4.4%: settled No
- Above 4.5%: settled No
- Above 4.6%: settled No
- Above 4.7%: settled No
- Above 4.8%: settled No
- Above 4.9%: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
Related Economics markets
More on this topic: CPI inflation odds on Kalshi
Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)?
This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Above 3.0%, Above 3.1%, Above 3.2% as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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APA
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsinflationinseptember2026cpiyoy, title = {Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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