Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCPIYOY-26SEP
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.0% at 98%, followed by Above 3.1% at 98%, Above 3.2% at 98%. 518.2K contracts have traded, 51.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.0% | 98% | -1 pts | 55.0K | 24.6K |
| Above 3.1% | 98% | -1 pts | 34.6K | 12.3K |
| Above 3.2% | 98% | -1 pts | 20.3K | 8.1K |
| Above 3.3% | 96% | -9 pts | 14.2K | 10.4K |
| Above 3.4% | 95% | -2 pts | 31.2K | 20.8K |
| Above 3.5% | 82% | -5 pts | 44.9K | 34.6K |
| Above 3.6% | 46% | +5 pts | 53.7K | 42.1K |
| Above 3.7% | 18% | +3 pts | 23.8K | 15.8K |
| Above 3.8% | 3.0% | · | 26.5K | 18.6K |
| Above 5.0% | 1.5% | +1 pts | 16.5K | 10.0K |
| Above 4.6% | 1.0% | · | 31.0K | 10.0K |
| Above 3.9% | 1.0% | -15 pts | 29.3K | 14.4K |
| Above 4.9% | 1.0% | · | 27.2K | 14.7K |
| Above 4.7% | 1.0% | · | 26.6K | 11.2K |
| Above 4.5% | 1.0% | · | 24.2K | 10.7K |
| Above 4.3% | 1.0% | -1 pts | 17.9K | 7.4K |
| Above 4.4% | 1.0% | · | 16.0K | 8.9K |
| Above 4.0% | 1.0% | · | 8.6K | 6.4K |
| Above 4.2% | 1.0% | · | 6.5K | 1.7K |
| Above 4.1% | 1.0% | · | 5.2K | 4.0K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 3.0% ■ Above 3.1% ■ Above 3.2% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3.0% at 98%, followed by Above 3.1% at 98%, Above 3.2% at 98%. 518.2K contracts have traded, 51.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 14, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/">Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsinflationinseptember2026cpiyoy, title = {Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/inflation-in-september-2026-cpi-yoy/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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