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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPACT-26SEP27
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists At least 1, At least 2, At least 3 as settled Yes.
Result
- At least 1: settled Yes
- At least 2: settled Yes
- At least 3: settled Yes
- At least 4: settled Yes
- At least 5: settled Yes
- At least 6: settled No
- At least 7: settled No
- At least 8: settled No
- At least 9: settled No
- At least 10: settled No
- At least 15: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Sep 27, 2026 through Oct 3, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026. The week runs from Sep 27, 2026 through Oct 3, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 …”
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)?
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists At least 1, At least 2, At least 3 as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3) market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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APA
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-presidential-actions-will-trump-take-this-week-9-27-10-3/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanypresidentialactionswilltrumptakethisweek927103, title = {How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-presidential-actions-will-trump-take-this-week-9-27-10-3/}}HTML credit
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