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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPACT-26SEP27

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 4 at 100%, followed by At least 3 at 100%, At least 2 at 100%. 37.1K contracts have traded, 29.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
At least 4100%
+26 pts11.5K5.8K
At least 3100%
+16 pts6.9K4.9K
At least 2100%
+10 pts6.5K5.2K
At least 1100%
·1.4K1.4K
At least 576%
+18 pts4.1K1.1K
At least 656%
+15 pts1.5K275
At least 747%
+16 pts2.6K385
At least 821%
+10 pts931762
At least 913%
-2 pts7535
At least 106.5%
·308308
At least 152.5%
·1.3K1.2K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Sep 29

■ At least 3 ■ At least 2 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Sep 27, 2026 through Oct 3, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026. The week runs from Sep 27, 2026 through Oct 3, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 …”

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Related Politics markets

More on this topic: Trump odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is At least 4 at 100%, followed by At least 3 at 100%, At least 2 at 100%. 37.1K contracts have traded, 29.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3) market close?

The listed close date is October 4, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-presidential-actions-will-trump-take-this-week-9-27-10-3/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanypresidentialactionswilltrumptakethisweek927103, title = {How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-presidential-actions-will-trump-take-this-week-9-27-10-3/}}

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