How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXDIESELMAXY-26DEC31
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.60 at 51%, followed by Above $6.80 at 42%, Above $7.00 at 40%. 107.3K contracts have traded, 412 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above $6.60 ■ Above $6.80 ■ Above $7.00 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is above $6.60, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes. This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.”
What are the Kalshi odds for How high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.60 at 51%, followed by Above $6.80 at 42%, Above $7.00 at 40%. 107.3K contracts have traded, 412 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How high will US diesel prices get in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-high-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowhighwillusdieselpricesgetin2026, title = {How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-high-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
