Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXDIESELMAXY-26DEC31
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.60 at 88%, followed by Above $6.80 at 75%, Above $7.00 at 55%. 74.9K contracts have traded, 3.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6.60 | 88% | -1 pts | 3.6K | 1.8K |
| Above $6.80 | 75% | -4 pts | 5.1K | 2.3K |
| Above $7.00 | 55% | -21 pts | 5.0K | 2.7K |
| Above $7.20 | 55% | -2 pts | 5.3K | 2.7K |
| Above $7.40 | 45% | -14 pts | 4.1K | 2.0K |
| Above $7.60 | 43% | -1 pts | 8.4K | 2.8K |
| Above $7.80 | 43% | -1 pts | 4.5K | 1.8K |
| Above $8.00 | 29% | -8 pts | 11.3K | 5.9K |
| Above $8.40 | 22% | -13 pts | 292 | 158 |
| Above $8.60 | 18% | +2 pts | 435 | 404 |
| Above $8.20 | 17% | +1 pts | 6.7K | 3.7K |
| Above $8.80 | 16% | · | 488 | 488 |
| Above $9.00 | 14% | · | 717 | 391 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above $6.60 ■ Above $6.80 ■ Above $7.00 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the AAA national average price for diesel for the US in 2026 is above $6.60, at any time from Issuance through December 31, 2026, inclusive then the market resolves to Yes. This is a touch market. If AAA publishes a qualifying value at any point during the measurement period, the applicable market may close and resolve to Yes early.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $6.60 at 88%, followed by Above $6.80 at 75%, Above $7.00 at 55%. 74.9K contracts have traded, 3.5K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/how-high-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-high-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026/">How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/how-high-will-us-diesel-prices-get-in-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).